Thanks Chunks for the pictures, that confirms that the right prop was indeed feathered prior to the crash. Thanks Larry for the Dash 1 excerpt. That was tremendously helpful. A few interesting tidbits caught my eye from the pilot manual. The manual references are quoted verbatim in blue:
"However there is little or no stall warning with the flaps and gear down, power on or off, and flaps and gear up, power off."Depending on where Ed lost the engine, he might have had little warning about an impending stall, with little time to react, especially if he was close to the ground.
"Should engine failure occur either on takeoff or during flight, control forces required to hold a constant heading are relatively light, and complete control is easily maintained down to stall speed."It sounds like this is relatively easy to fly single-engine, PROVIDED one is above stall speed. I haven't seen the rest of the manual, but the omission of any problems with Vmc issues in the single-engine emergency section implies that it is not an issue at all. At the beginning it even remarks that "
single engine control characteristics of this airplane are exceptionally good".
"Estimated single-engine stalling speeds are approximately 5 mph higher than normal."This is key. In this scenario, we can refer to figure 2-6, page 28 of the pilot manual that Larry scanned. Let's also assume that the CAF aircraft was a lightly loaded one with no armament, combat equipment, etc. In that table, I will use the following conditions: flaps down, power on, normal rated power, level flight, and 20,000 lbs, which is exactly half-way between the 18,000 and 22,000 lb columns (a light weight aircraft), so we can interpolate half-way. The stall speeds for 18K and 22K weights are 97 mph and 108mph respectively. Interpolating, we come up with a 103mph stall speed for the conditions which most closely approximate a two-engine landing at Harlingen. The manual (see above quote) states that for single-engine, the stall speed increases by 5 mph. So, 103 mph + 5 mph = 108 mph stall speed for a single-engine condition.
So, his actual single engine stall speed is 108 mph, which converted to knots equals 94 Knots indicated air speed. Thats a difference of 14 units between the two measurements. Whatever he thinks he is using, he is going to be off by 14 units on what he thinks his stall speed is. If he thinks he has until 94 knots until he stalls, but in actuality, he is flying 94 mph because the airspeed indicator is calibrated in mph, rather than knots, he will actually be 14 mph too slow and fall out of the sky. So, from this perspective, it is very easy to see that confusion between mph and knots calibration on the airspeed indicator is very critical.
Also, from the manual excerpt, we can see that the left engine powers hydraulics for the gear and flaps. From Chunks' pictures, we can see with no doubt whatsoever, that the right prop is feathered, hence he lost the right engine. Losing that side will not affect his ability to lower his landing gear or drop the flaps like he normally would do. So, no distractions there for Ed when he was configuring for landing.
Using normal rated power on single engine, altitude can be maintained up to 10,000 ft with airplane gross weight of 21,000 lbs, up to 5000 ft with airplane gross weight of 23,000 lbsWith our scenario of using a 20,000 lb aircraft, he should be able to maintain level flight above 10,000 ft. Harlingen is nearly at sea level, and will come nowhere close to that. Utilizing the weather observations from the weather data in the NTSB report, I calculated the density altitude to be no greater than approximately 1500 ft, worst case scenario. So, Ed should have had plenty of excess power to not only maintain altitude, but also enough to climb in those conditions on one engine.
airnutz wrote:
NTSB sent no one since there were no fatalities or injuries. As I've understood it, they skimmed
the FAA's report and rubberstamped the upshot, but not the details. FAA repository time with
an FOIA request, I reckon. As I've heard over the years, one of the issues was with a leaky
oil supply line to the right prop.
That makes sense airnutz. The NTSB report is terribly incomplete and leaves out a lot of very important information - not the least of which is he lost the engine! The other interesting item is that as Chunks' picture shows, Lefty lost the same right engine on an earlier flight in the day, but he successfully recovered the aircraft. You would think that losing an engine would be a semi-serious thing and they wouldn't want to risk sending the aircraft up so soon without extensive engine ground running. I don't know, maybe they DID do that. I wonder if the CAF or mechanics felt pressured to put the P-82 back in the air that day because Airsho' was going on?
So, in my analysis, we can probably conclude the following things above and beyond the NTSB report:
1) Ed lost the right engine.
2) Losing the engine should not have distracted him from flying the aircraft, as all the normal systems required for configuring the aircraft were available, and the single engine flight characteristics were excellent. He should have had no directional control or altitude holding issues, assuming his piloting abilities were commensurate with his experience level, unless he lacked complex multi-engine experience - something which we still don't know yet.
3) The weather was not an issue.
4) The stall warnings were very quick, insidious and without warning after Ed lost his engine. He had virtually no time to react to the stall.
5) Confusion arising from utilizing an airspeed indicator calibrated utilizing mph vs. knots could have had a substantial impact on his ability to maintain control of the aircraft and prevent a stall.
I know there are many other people on this forum who know what happened. I still would like to hear their input, particularly the CAF members who have first hand info on the event.
Any Mustang pilots care to vet my analysis? Anything I am missing or overlooking? I'm open to suggestions, but based on the information so far - provided it is accurate - this is what I have come up with.
Comments?